tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Los Angeles via Detroit: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 07:30 DTW
    DL 2869 · Delta · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 DTW → 10:20 LAX
    DL 523 · Delta · 4h 50m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 20mDCA 06:00 to LAX 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.