tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Kailua/Kona via Seattle: arrives on time 57%

  1. 10:35 SFO → 12:53 SEA
    DL 2870 · Delta · 2h 18m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 SEA → 17:35 KOA
    DL 340 · Delta · 6h 05m · 78% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip10h 00mSFO 10:35 to KOA 17:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.