tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Spokane via Seattle: arrives on time 58%

  1. 10:35 SFO → 12:53 SEA
    DL 2870 · Delta · 2h 18m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:19 SEA → 15:40 GEG
    DL 4145 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 21m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 05mSFO 10:35 to GEG 15:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.