tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Louisville via Minneapolis: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:19 BWI → 07:56 MSP
    DL 2872 · Delta · 2h 37m · 91% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MSP → 12:00 SDF
    DL 4988 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 00m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 41mBWI 06:19 to SDF 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.