tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Tampa via Minneapolis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:19 BWI → 07:56 MSP
    DL 2872 · Delta · 2h 37m · 91% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 MSP → 14:12 TPA
    DL 2696 · Delta · 3h 08m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 83 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 53mBWI 06:19 to TPA 14:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.