tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:19 BWI → 07:56 MSP
    DL 2872 · Delta · 2h 37m · 91% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 MSP → 13:46 LGA
    DL 2764 · Delta · 2h 41m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 27mBWI 06:19 to LGA 13:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.