tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Fairbanks via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 12:12 DEN → 15:10 MSP
    DL 2877 · Delta · 1h 58m · 85% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 MSP → 20:43 FAI
    DL 1055 · Delta · 5h 33m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 2 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip10h 31mDEN 12:12 to FAI 20:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.