tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Hebron via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:10 IAD → 12:44 DTW
    DL 2884 · Delta · 1h 34m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:32 DTW → 17:49 CVG
    DL 5060 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 17m · 76% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 183 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 39mIAD 11:10 to CVG 17:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.