tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Buffalo via Detroit: arrives on time 68%

  1. 11:10 IAD → 12:44 DTW
    DL 2884 · Delta · 1h 34m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:03 DTW → 15:21 BUF
    DL 3642 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 11mIAD 11:10 to BUF 15:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.