tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Providence via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 11:10 IAD → 12:44 DTW
    DL 2884 · Delta · 1h 34m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:15 DTW → 16:16 PVD
    DL 4040 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 01m · 74% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 06mIAD 11:10 to PVD 16:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.