tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 51%

  1. 12:09 AUS → 15:36 ATL
    DL 2886 · Delta · 2h 27m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:27 ATL → 18:23 BWI
    DL 2928 · Delta · 1h 54m · 72% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 12mAUS 12:09 to BWI 18:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.