tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Nashville via Washington: arrives on time 53%

  1. 11:22 MIA → 14:05 DCA
    DL 2888 · Delta · 2h 41m · 70% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:05 DCA → 16:16 BNA
    DL 5777 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 11m · 76% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 54mMIA 11:22 to BNA 16:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.