tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Chattanooga via Atlanta: arrives on time 27%

  1. 16:51 IAH → 20:13 ATL
    DL 2890 · Delta · 2h 18m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 ATL → 22:11 CHA
    DL 5368 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 04m · 47% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chattanooga is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip4h 23mIAH 16:51 to CHA 22:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.