tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 67%

  1. 16:51 IAH → 20:13 ATL
    DL 2890 · Delta · 2h 18m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 ATL → 00:31 TPA +1 day
    DL 1560 · Delta · 1h 32m · 72% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 46m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 40mIAH 16:51 to TPA 00:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.