tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 27%

  1. 16:51 IAH → 20:13 ATL
    DL 2890 · Delta · 2h 18m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 ATL → 22:30 TPA
    DL 1591 · Delta · 1h 31m · 62% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 39mIAH 16:51 to TPA 22:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.