tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Des Moines via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 16:51 IAH → 20:13 ATL
    DL 2890 · Delta · 2h 18m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 ATL → 22:31 DSM
    DL 2306 · Delta · 2h 16m · 82% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 40mIAH 16:51 to DSM 22:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.