tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sacramento via Atlanta: arrives on time 36%

  1. 16:51 IAH → 20:13 ATL
    DL 2890 · Delta · 2h 18m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 ATL → 22:54 SMF
    DL 682 · Delta · 4h 55m · 82% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 03mIAH 16:51 to SMF 22:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.