tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 13:46 ORD → 16:54 ATL
    DL 2894 · Delta · 2h 08m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 21m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 ATL → 22:52 SRQ
    DL 1057 · Delta · 1h 38m · 71% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 216 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 21m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip8h 07mORD 13:46 to SRQ 22:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.