tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Key West via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 13:46 ORD → 16:54 ATL
    DL 2894 · Delta · 2h 08m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:53 ATL → 19:53 EYW
    DL 2815 · Delta · 2h 00m · 77% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Key West is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 07mORD 13:46 to EYW 19:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.