tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Portland via Minneapolis: arrives on time 64%

  1. 15:00 EWR → 17:08 MSP
    DL 2895 · Delta · 3h 08m · 78% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:34 MSP → 20:17 PDX
    DL 2151 · Delta · 3h 43m · 79% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 17mEWR 15:00 to PDX 20:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.