tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Baltimore via Minneapolis: arrives on time 71%

  1. 15:00 EWR → 17:08 MSP
    DL 2895 · Delta · 3h 08m · 78% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 MSP → 23:13 BWI
    DL 2918 · Delta · 2h 28m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 13mEWR 15:00 to BWI 23:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.