tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Anchorage via Minneapolis: arrives on time 50%

  1. 15:00 EWR → 17:08 MSP
    DL 2895 · Delta · 3h 08m · 78% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 MSP → 20:52 ANC
    DL 377 · Delta · 5h 42m · 66% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip9h 52mEWR 15:00 to ANC 20:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.