tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Memphis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 73%

  1. 15:00 EWR → 17:08 MSP
    DL 2895 · Delta · 3h 08m · 78% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 MSP → 22:21 MEM
    DL 4035 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 16m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 21mEWR 15:00 to MEM 22:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.