tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Milwaukee via Minneapolis: arrives on time 74%

  1. 15:00 EWR → 17:08 MSP
    DL 2895 · Delta · 3h 08m · 78% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 MSP → 21:28 MKE
    DL 4468 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 28mEWR 15:00 to MKE 21:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.