tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:29 BUF → 07:42 DTW
    DL 2898 · Delta · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 DTW → 11:50 LGA
    DL 2589 · Delta · 1h 45m · 86% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 21mBUF 06:29 to LGA 11:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.