tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Nashville via Detroit: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:29 BUF → 07:42 DTW
    DL 2898 · Delta · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 DTW → 09:11 BNA
    DL 2682 · Delta · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip3h 42mBUF 06:29 to BNA 09:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.