tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Los Angeles via Detroit: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:29 BUF → 07:42 DTW
    DL 2898 · Delta · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 DTW → 10:20 LAX
    DL 523 · Delta · 4h 50m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 51mBUF 06:29 to LAX 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.