tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 90%

  1. 06:29 BUF → 07:42 DTW
    DL 2898 · Delta · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:33 DTW → 11:04 ORD
    AA 4103 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 35m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 39mBUF 06:29 to ORD 11:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.