tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:29 BUF → 07:42 DTW
    DL 2898 · Delta · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:40 DTW → 12:30 LGA
    AA 4415 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 51m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 02mBUF 06:29 to LGA 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.