tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:15 AUS → 11:30 ATL
    DL 2899 · Delta · 2h 15m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:17 ATL → 14:02 IAD
    DL 2135 · Delta · 1h 45m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 47mAUS 08:15 to IAD 14:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.