tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Columbia via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 19:35 IAD → 21:39 ATL
    DL 2902 · Delta · 2h 00m · 78% on time, 6.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:41 ATL → 23:46 CAE
    DL 3029 · Delta · 1h 05m · 80% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (6.6% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 11mIAD 19:35 to CAE 23:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.