tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → San Francisco via Minneapolis: arrives on time 67%

  1. 05:55 MSO → 09:30 MSP
    DL 2907 · Delta · 2h 35m · 92% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 MSP → 13:10 SFO
    DL 2074 · Delta · 4h 10m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 15mMSO 05:55 to SFO 13:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.