tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 86%

  1. 12:35 SEA → 15:26 LAX
    DL 2914 · Delta · 2h 51m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:41 LAX → 19:15 PHX
    DL 4077 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 40mSEA 12:35 to PHX 19:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.