tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 59%

  1. 19:10 MEM → 21:41 ATL
    DL 2939 · Delta · 1h 31m · 73% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 ATL → 00:59 PHL +1 day
    DL 2642 · Delta · 2h 05m · 78% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 50mMEM 19:10 to PHL 00:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.