tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:40 BWI → 07:31 ATL
    DL 2950 · Delta · 1h 51m · 94% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 12:12 PHX
    DL 796 · Delta · 4h 02m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 174 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 32mBWI 05:40 to PHX 12:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.