tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Sacramento via Atlanta: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:40 BWI → 07:31 ATL
    DL 2950 · Delta · 1h 51m · 94% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:16 ATL → 11:07 SMF
    DL 904 · Delta · 4h 51m · 88% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 27mBWI 05:40 to SMF 11:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.