tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New York via Las Vegas: arrives on time 94%

  1. 16:20 SEA → 18:57 LAS
    DL 2955 · Delta · 2h 37m · 78% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:47 LAS → 07:00 JFK +1 day
    AA 2855 · American · 5h 13m · 98% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 11h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip11h 40mSEA 16:20 to JFK 07:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.