tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Spokane via Seattle: arrives on time 31%

  1. 19:06 LAS → 21:55 SEA
    DL 2956 · Delta · 2h 48m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 SEA → 23:55 GEG
    DL 2354 · Delta · 1h 10m · 60% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 49mLAS 19:06 to GEG 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.