tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 40%

  1. 19:06 LAS → 21:55 SEA
    DL 2956 · Delta · 2h 48m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 SEA → 23:54 PDX
    DL 4472 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 04m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 48mLAS 19:06 to PDX 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.