tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Francisco via Minneapolis: arrives on time 64%

  1. 12:00 DCA → 13:45 MSP
    DL 2958 · Delta · 2h 45m · 78% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:07 MSP → 17:14 SFO
    DL 756 · Delta · 4h 06m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 13mDCA 12:00 to SFO 17:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.