tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Seattle via Minneapolis: arrives on time 65%

  1. 12:00 DCA → 13:45 MSP
    DL 2958 · Delta · 2h 45m · 78% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 MSP → 17:00 SEA
    DL 877 · Delta · 3h 45m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 00mDCA 12:00 to SEA 17:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.