tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Grand Rapids via Minneapolis: arrives on time 52%

  1. 18:59 DCA → 20:49 MSP
    DL 2963 · Delta · 2h 50m · 74% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 MSP → 23:59 GRR
    DL 1711 · Delta · 1h 19m · 77% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 00mDCA 18:59 to GRR 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.