tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Portland via Minneapolis: arrives on time 51%

  1. 18:59 DCA → 20:49 MSP
    DL 2963 · Delta · 2h 50m · 74% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:38 MSP → 23:18 PDX
    DL 2391 · Delta · 3h 40m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 19mDCA 18:59 to PDX 23:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.