tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Omaha via Minneapolis: arrives on time 45%

  1. 18:59 DCA → 20:49 MSP
    DL 2963 · Delta · 2h 50m · 74% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 MSP → 23:00 OMA
    DL 4014 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 20m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 01mDCA 18:59 to OMA 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.