tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 67%

  1. 09:46 PHL → 11:31 DTW
    DL 2968 · Delta · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 DTW → 12:46 MDW
    DL 4688 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 21m · 82% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 00mPHL 09:46 to MDW 12:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.