tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Hebron via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 09:46 PHL → 11:31 DTW
    DL 2968 · Delta · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 DTW → 15:16 CVG
    DL 5446 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 16m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 30mPHL 09:46 to CVG 15:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.