tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Los Angeles via Detroit: arrives on time 73%

  1. 09:46 PHL → 11:31 DTW
    DL 2968 · Delta · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:38 DTW → 14:28 LAX
    DL 634 · Delta · 4h 50m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 42mPHL 09:46 to LAX 14:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.