tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Buffalo via New York: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:55 MSP → 10:38 JFK
    DL 2969 · Delta · 2h 43m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:29 JFK → 15:09 BUF
    DL 5296 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 40m · 82% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 14mMSP 06:55 to BUF 15:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.