tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Portland via New York: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:55 MSP → 10:38 JFK
    DL 2969 · Delta · 2h 43m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 JFK → 14:19 PWM
    DL 5399 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 34m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 24mMSP 06:55 to PWM 14:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.