tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Jacksonville via New York: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:55 MSP → 10:38 JFK
    DL 2969 · Delta · 2h 43m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:55 JFK → 16:44 JAX
    DL 1035 · Delta · 2h 47m · 73% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 47mMSP 06:55 to JAX 16:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.